The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson, "Use of Probabilistic Surge Guidance in Local Storm Surge
Forecasting”. This lesson introduces forecasters to the probabilistic storm surge guidance used by the National Weather Service to assess local surge threats and impacts. It will provide practice in determining the chance that critical surge thresholds may be reached or exceeded and
when this is most likely to occur. Developing a public message that includes important potential surge values, threats, and impacts information will also be explored. The lesson will take ~45 minutes to complete (not including the quiz).
We strongly recommend reviewing the “Introduction to Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge”, “Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge”, and “Storm Surge and Datums” lessons before beginning this lesson. Without these
prerequisites, learners may find this lesson very challenging.
The intended audience for "Use of Probabilistic Surge Guidance in Local
Storm Surge Forecasting" includes forecasters in the U.S., Canada, and
the Caribbean, emergency managers, and others with general interest in
tropical cyclone storm surge. National Weather Service forecast offices
could also use the module in their training programs in preparation for
hurricane season. Please follow this link to the MetEd description page
that provides additional information and the link to begin the lesson: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1160
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Flash® for navigation, animation, and/or presentation of multimedia
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with JavaScript enabled and the latest version of the Adobe FlashPlayer
installed (http://get.adobe.com/flashplayer/).
For technical support,
please visit our Registration and Support FAQs at https://www.meted.ucar.edu/resources_faq.php