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@nazarethpatch NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
900 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012
VALID 12Z MON FEB 20 2012 - 12Z THU FEB 23 2012
...COASTAL STORM ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD MAY BRING A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO THE MID-ATLANTIC ON DAY 3...
THE THREAT FOR A WINTER STORM ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON DAY 3. A GENERAL PHASING BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS HAS BECOME MORE EVIDENT IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH HAS ALLOWED SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS TO TAKE PLACE IN THE FAVORED LOCATION ALONG THE COASTAL CAROLINAS. OVERALL TIMING OF THIS SURFACE WAVE
TRACKING TOWARD THE OUTER BANKS AND EVENTUALLY SCOOTING OFF TO THE EAST OUT TO SEA HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN. BUT THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY HAS DEFINITELY DIMINISHED COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS.
900 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012
VALID 12Z MON FEB 20 2012 - 12Z THU FEB 23 2012
...COASTAL STORM ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD MAY BRING A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO THE MID-ATLANTIC ON DAY 3...
THE THREAT FOR A WINTER STORM ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON DAY 3. A GENERAL PHASING BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS HAS BECOME MORE EVIDENT IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH HAS ALLOWED SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS TO TAKE PLACE IN THE FAVORED LOCATION ALONG THE COASTAL CAROLINAS. OVERALL TIMING OF THIS SURFACE WAVE
TRACKING TOWARD THE OUTER BANKS AND EVENTUALLY SCOOTING OFF TO THE EAST OUT TO SEA HAS VARIED FROM RUN TO RUN. BUT THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY HAS DEFINITELY DIMINISHED COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS.